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News/Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models
arxiv
PublishedJuly 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM
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Global Merger-Arbitrage Forecasting with Language Models

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arXiv:2607.09921v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present a language-model forecasting system for merger arbitrage, a specialized high-stakes financial setting in which the task is to predict the outcome of announced M\&A deals. Unlike prior work on judgmental forecasting with LLMs, which has focus

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