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News/WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning
arxiv
PublishedJune 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM
—neutral

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning

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arXiv:2606.11816v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecasting real-world events requires language-model agents to reason under uncertainty from incomplete, time-bounded information. Yet evaluating whether agents genuinely forecast requires more than final-answer accuracy: a model may be correct by r

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