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News/How Much Can Reliability Drift Under a Fixed Confidence Distribution?
arxiv
PublishedOctober 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM

How Much Can Reliability Drift Under a Fixed Confidence Distribution?

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arXiv:2609.38917v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A classifier's conditional accuracy can change while its confidence distribution stays exactly the same. We study the worst-case movement of the reliability relation under covariate shifts that preserve the distribution of the confidence score, constra

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