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News/A Persona-based Rate Action Index
arxiv
PublishedJuly 31, 2026 at 4:00 AM
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A Persona-based Rate Action Index

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arXiv:2607.26545v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose an index for predicting the U.S.\ Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision to hike/hold/cut the current federal funds target rate based on how a collection of personas responds to current market conditions. To construct the index, we

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