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News/Asymmetric Bidirectional Predictive Dynamics in Google Search and COVID-19 Time Series: A Multi-Horizon Forecast-Error Analysis
arxiv
PublishedOctober 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM

Asymmetric Bidirectional Predictive Dynamics in Google Search and COVID-19 Time Series: A Multi-Horizon Forecast-Error Analysis

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arXiv:2610.28563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Online search activity is widely used as a digital trace of information seeking during epidemics, but its predictive value is often reduced to correlation, a selected lag, or a single forecast-error score. We examine eight pre-specified Google Trends-C

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