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News/Estimation-Prediction Tradeoff in Causal Probabilistic Temporal Graphs
arxiv
PublishedJuly 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM
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Estimation-Prediction Tradeoff in Causal Probabilistic Temporal Graphs

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arXiv:2606.28225v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal link prediction (TLP) is typically evaluated by predictive performance on unseen edges, but this criterion can conflate predictive accuracy with recovery of the underlying causal mechanism. In stochastic models, Fisher information governs

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