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News/Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI
arxiv
PublishedJuly 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM
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Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI

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arXiv:2605.22681v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: AI systems are increasingly used to support forward-looking scientific judgment, but it remains unclear whether they can form reliable expectations about future scientific advances. Here we show that strong scientific reasoning does not reliably tr

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