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News/FALCON-Discover: Discovering Concentrated False-Confidence Regions for Calibration
arxiv
PublishedJuly 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM

FALCON-Discover: Discovering Concentrated False-Confidence Regions for Calibration

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arXiv:2607.18278v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Calibration is usually evaluated in aggregate, but the most dangerous failures are often local: predictions that remain highly confident despite being wrong. We study this failure mode as false-confidence concentration, the extent to which confident

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