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News/Measuring Judgment Quality in Natural-Language Explanations: Evidence from Forecasting Tournaments
arxiv
PublishedJuly 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM
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Measuring Judgment Quality in Natural-Language Explanations: Evidence from Forecasting Tournaments

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arXiv:2606.30987v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Decision-makers routinely rely on expert judgments accompanied by written explanations, yet explanation quality is difficult to measure at scale. Forecasting tournaments offer a natural testing ground: probabilistic judgments are paired with natural-la

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