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News/The Singularity Has a Distribution: Exact Timing Laws and Detection Limits for a Stochastic Intelligence Explosion
arxiv
PublishedOctober 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM

The Singularity Has a Distribution: Exact Timing Laws and Detection Limits for a Stochastic Intelligence Explosion

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arXiv:2610.18445v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Automating AI research creates a positive feedback loop between software capability and research effort. We study a stochastic realisation of this loop in which independent, positive, multiplicative improvements arrive at a rate proportional to a power

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