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News/AlphaBet: Reinforcement Learning for LLM Event Forecasting Agents
arxiv
PublishedOctober 19, 2026 at 4:00 AM

AlphaBet: Reinforcement Learning for LLM Event Forecasting Agents

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arXiv:2610.22684v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecasting an unresolved event requires finding relevant evidence and deciding how strongly it supports each outcome. Yet outcome-based training of Large Language Model (LLM) forecasters often begins with preassembled evidence at a single prediction

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