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News/Spectral Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Structured Non-Exchangeable Data
arxiv
PublishedJuly 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM

Spectral Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Structured Non-Exchangeable Data

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arXiv:2606.15950v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction gives prediction intervals with finite-sample coverage when the data are exchangeable. Many time-indexed datasets are not exchangeable: they have seasons, recurring regimes, changing frequencies, or other forms of structu

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