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Tag

#time-series

10 articles tagged #time-series

arxivMay 25bullish

PaP-NF: Probabilistic Long-Term Time Series Forecasting via Prefix-as-Prompt Reprogramming and Normalizing Flows

arXiv:2605.23219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series forecasting plays a central role in many real-world applications and has been extensively studied. Most existing approaches rely on deterministic models. However, real-world environments exhibit inherently uncertain and complex future beh

PA1 model#probabilistic-forecasting#time-series#machine-learningRead on arxiv →
arxivMay 22

Discovering Entity-Conditioned Lag Heterogeneity: A Lag-Gated Neural Audit Framework for Panel Time Series

arXiv:2605.21542v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Country-level temporal panels are widely used in empirical analysis. Researchers often need to audit how different entities respond to historical signals over different time horizons. Current approaches typically do not provide directly auditable entit

AC1 model#machine-learning#time-series#auditRead on arxiv →
arxivMay 21bullish

INSHAPE: Instance-Level Shapelets for Interpretable Time-Series Classification

arXiv:2605.20088v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Discovering shapelets -- i.e., discriminative temporal patterns within time series -- has been widely studied to address the inherent complexity of time-series classification (TSC) and to make model decision-making processes more transparent. However

IN1 model#time-series#classification#interpretabilityRead on arxiv →
arxivMay 15

What if Tomorrow is the World Cup Final? Counterfactual Time Series Forecasting with Textual Conditions

arXiv:2605.14422v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting has become increasingly critical in real-world scenarios, where future sequences are influenced not only by historical patterns but also by forthcoming events. In this context, forecasting must dynamically adapt to complex and s

#time-series#forecasting#machine-learningRead on arxiv →
arxivMay 13bullish

Towards Uncertainty-Aware Federated Granger Causal Learning

arXiv:2602.13004v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Granger causality recovers directed interactions from time-series data, but in many distributed systems, the data are vertically partitioned across clients, with each client observing only the variables of its own subsystem. Federated Granger causa

#federated-learning#time-series#causalityRead on arxiv →
arxivMay 13bullish

TTCD:Transformer Integrated Temporal Causal Discovery from Non-Stationary Time Series Data

arXiv:2605.08111v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The widespread availability of complex time series data in various domains such as environmental science, epidemiology, and economics demands robust causal discovery methods that can identify intricate contemporaneous and lagged relationships in non-

TR1 model#time-series#causal-discovery#machine-learningRead on arxiv →
arxivMay 8

Online Localized Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2605.05497v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction is a framework that provides valid uncertainty quantification for general models with exchangeable data. However, in the online learning and time-series settings, exchangeability is not satisfied. Existing online conformal methods,

ONOLAD3 models#conformal-prediction#online-learning#time-seriesRead on arxiv →
arxivApr 30bullish

Exploring the Potential of Probabilistic Transformer for Time Series Modeling: A Report on the ST-PT Framework

arXiv:2604.26762v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The Probabilistic Transformer (PT) establishes that the Transformer's self-attention plus its feed-forward block is mathematically equivalent to Mean-Field Variational Inference (MFVI) on a Conditional Random Field (CRF). Under this equivalence the T

PRSP2 models#time-series#probabilistic-models#transformersRead on arxiv →
arxivApr 14bullish

MSTN: A Lightweight and Fast Model for General TimeSeries Analysis

arXiv:2511.20577v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends. However, many contemporary architect

MUMSMS3 models#time-series#neural-networks#forecastingRead on arxiv →
arxivApr 10

Matrix Profile for Anomaly Detection on Multidimensional Time Series

arXiv:2409.09298v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The Matrix Profile (MP), a versatile tool for time series data mining, has been shown effective in time series anomaly detection (TSAD). This paper delves into the problem of anomaly detection in multidimensional time series, a common occurre

#time-series#anomaly-detection#machine-learningRead on arxiv →
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