arxivJul 1

Conformalized Regression for Continuous Bounded Outcomes

arXiv:2507.14023v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Regression problems with bounded continuous outcomes frequently arise in statistical and machine learning applications, such as the analysis of rates and proportions. A central challenge in this setting is predicting the response at a new cov

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arxivMay 8

Online Localized Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2605.05497v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction is a framework that provides valid uncertainty quantification for general models with exchangeable data. However, in the online learning and time-series settings, exchangeability is not satisfied. Existing online conformal methods,

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arxivMay 1

Geometry-Calibrated Conformal Abstention for Language Models

arXiv:2604.27914v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: When language models lack relevant knowledge for a given query, they frequently generate plausible responses that can be hallucinations, rather than admitting being agnostic about the answer. Retraining models to reward admitting ignorance can lead to

#conformal-prediction #language-models #calibration Read on arxiv →